Tuesday, October 29, 2013

Severe Weather Will Occur on Halloween

Severe weather will happen on Halloween and could ruin Halloween plans for many. A slight risk of severe weather has been issued for most of North and Central MS for Halloween day. Thunderstorms and heavy rain are likely with the possibility of damging winds and even a tornado possible. Rain could clear western parts of MS just in time for trick-or-treating, but exact timing for the event is still uncertain - the closer you are to the MS River the better chance you have at a dry Halloween night.

POTENTIAL HALLOWEEN RAINFALL TOTALS




BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER

Thursday, October 24, 2013

Freeze and Frost Tonight

The time has come....... a Freeze Warning has been issued for Northeast MS and a Frost Advisory for most of the rest of North MS, and even if you're not in the advisory or warning, that dosen't mean there can't be patchy frost. Tomorrow's temperatures will range from the mid 50s in northern part of the state and low 70s at the Gulf coast. Frost potential will also exist Saturday morning.





 



Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Cool Tonight and Tomorrow

It will be cool tonight with temperatures in the 40s and 50s. Highs not warming up much in the northern part of the state, but south MS will be getting in the 70s. A series of cold fronts are continuing to move through the US. Friday and Saturday mornings have a high potential for frost, and even freezing temperatures with 30s reaching as far south as the Hattiesburg area.







Sunday, October 20, 2013

More Frost Tonight

Many people in North MS woke up to frost this morning, and tonight should be just as cold, if not a little cooler. There is a Frost Advisory again, except it's even more widespread. Temperatures will rise even quicker than yesterday, and by tomorrow afternoon, everyone should reach the 70 degree mark.

Frost Advisory


URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
435 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

...FROST ADVISORY FOR PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH...

.CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL AGAIN ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP
INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF WEST TENNESSEE AND
NORTH MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT...CREATING WIDESPREAD FROST CONDITIONS DURING
THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS.

MSZ002>005-009-013>016-022-023-TNZ003-004-020-021-050>055-089>092-
210545-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FR.Y.0005.131021T0800Z-131021T1300Z/
MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE-UNION-
PONTOTOC-LEE MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-WEAKLEY-HENRY-GIBSON-CARROLL-
HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-FAYETTE-
HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORINTH...BOONEVILLE...OXFORD...
NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...HUMBOLDT...
MILAN...HUNTINGDON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...
SAVANNAH
435 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM CDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A FROST
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM CDT MONDAY.

* TEMPERATURE/FROST COVERAGE...TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S ACROSS
  WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI.

* TIMING...FROM 3 AM THROUGH 8 AM.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS AND FLOWERS MAY ENDURE
  SIGNIFICANT STRESS DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

JAB

Saturday, October 19, 2013

Frosty Night for Some

The first frost of season may occur in parts of Northeast MS with temperatures as low as 35 possible and with clear skies and calm winds, the formation of patchy frost is likely. Lows will be in the 30s and 40s for most with low 50s on the Gulf Coast. Temperatures will rebound quickly tomorrow reaching the upper 60s to middle 70s.

Frost Advisory


URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
354 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013

...PATCHY FROST IS EXPECTED IN FAR NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND WEST
TENNESSEE...

...THE FIRST FROST OF THE SEASON IS POSSIBLE AS A CHILLY HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM SETTLES CROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY..

MSZ005-006-TNZ003-004-020-021-050>055-090>092-200500-
/O.CON.KMEG.FR.Y.0004.131020T0800Z-131020T1300Z/
ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-WEAKLEY-HENRY-GIBSON-CARROLL-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-
MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORINTH...IUKA...MARTIN...DRESDEN...
PARIS...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...
BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
354 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM CDT
SUNDAY...

* TEMPERATURE/FROST COVERAGE... 34 TO 37 DEGREES.

* TIMING...SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. ESPECIALLY IN THE
NORMALLY COLDER LOW LYING AREAS. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE
DAMAGED OR KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$




Friday, October 18, 2013

Saturday

A cold front will move through late Friday night and into Saturday, bringing cool temperatures to parts of the state.  Highs will be in the 60s in the 70s and Saturday night will likely be cool to even chilly.

Thursday, October 17, 2013

Tonight and Friday

Tonight will be cool and mostly clear in North and Central MS, only a few degrees below average. There will be a chance of showers in South MS also, keeping clouds around. Tomorrow will be sunny with temperatures mostly in the 70s.










Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Cool Thursday

Thursday will be drier in North MS: Highs in the upper 60s and partly cloudy skies. Further southward has a better chance at showers with highs in the 70s. Another shot of cold air will come on Saturday, but one thing that interests me more is the potential of winter-like temperatures in the October 24-26 timeframe where widespread lows in the 30s are possible, but it's still about a week out.

Monday, October 14, 2013

Rainy Few Days Ahead

The northern half of the state will get plently of rain over the next couple of days as a cold front moves through bringing showers. Precipitation will be limited in the south part of the state, though light rain is likely. Cooler weather will follow with highs in the 60s and 70s and lows in the 40s and 50s. High pressure should make an appearance by late this week, making a great Fall weekend. Also, it shouldn't be long before the first frost, so people especially in North MS need to watch for any Frost Advisories or Freeze Warnings over the next few weeks.



Thursday, October 10, 2013

Dense Fog Tonight, Then A Warm Day

A Dense Fog Advisory has been issued for the southern 2/3rds of state. It will be a foggy morning so be cautious on the way to school or work Friday morning. Also remember, just because North MS isn't under the advisory dosen't mean that one can't be issued later, and even then patchy fog is still likely.

Dense Fog Advisory


URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
814 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

...DENSE FOG EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
110915-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FG.Y.0010.131011T0600Z-131011T1500Z/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...
YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...
PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG...
JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...
UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...
STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...
MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...
BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA...
WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
814 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM CDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM CDT FRIDAY.

* VISIBILITY: WIDESPREAD VISIBILITIES AT OR BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE

* IMPACTS: DRIVERS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION OVERNIGHT AND DURING THE
  FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE. BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
  VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

&&

$$

DL/CME

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
803 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

...AREAS OF DENSE FOG LIKELY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

.THE COMBINATION OF CLEAR SKIES...CALM WINDS...AND HIGHER HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL SET THE STAGE FOR AREAS OF DENSE FOG TO DEVELOP DURING
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON FRIDAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO
ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS IN MANY LOCATIONS.

ALZ052-061>064-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-111100-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FG.Y.0016.131011T0700Z-131011T1400Z/
WASHINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHATOM...MILLRY...MOBILE...PRICHARD...
SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...
FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...
BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...
LUCEDALE
803 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM CDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM CDT FRIDAY.

* VISIBILITY...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

* IMPACTS...DRIVERS CAN EXPECT AREAS OF DENSE FOG THAT WILL
  FREQUENTLY LIMIT VISIBILITIES TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS. THIS
  WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED
TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...USE YOUR
HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

&&

$$

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
700 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

...A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.WARM MOIST AIR RETURNING TO THE GULF SOUTH ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS WILL
ALLOW FOG FORMATION OVERNIGHT. THE FOG IS LIKELY TO BECOME DENSE
BEFORE DAYBREAK AND LINGER THROUGH MID-MORNING BEFORE BURNING OFF.

LAZ034>037-039-040-046>050-056>065-071-072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-
110800-
/O.NEW.KLIX.FG.Y.0015.131011T0600Z-131011T1500Z/
POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON-
ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-
LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-
UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-
UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-
WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LIVONIA...
ST. FRANCISVILLE...JACKSON...CLINTON...GREENSBURG...MONTPELIER...
BOGALUSA...FRANKLINTON...SLIDELL...MANDEVILLE...COVINGTON...
LACOMBE...PLAQUEMINE...WHITE CASTLE...PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...
BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE...GONZALES...DONALDSONVILLE...
DENHAM SPRINGS...WALKER...PIERRE PART...LABADIEVILLE...
PAINCOURTVILLE...LUTCHER...GRAMERCY...LAPLACE...RESERVE...
THIBODAUX...RACELAND...LAROSE...DESTREHAN...NORCO...METAIRIE...
KENNER...NEW ORLEANS...BELLE CHASSE...CHALMETTE...VIOLET...
HOUMA...BAYOU CANE...AMITE...KENTWOOD...HAMMOND...PONCHATOULA...
CENTREVILLE...WOODVILLE...GLOSTER...LIBERTY...CROSBY...MCCOMB...
TYLERTOWN...PICAYUNE...BAY ST. LOUIS...WAVELAND...DIAMONDHEAD...
GULFPORT...BILOXI...PASCAGOULA...OCEAN SPRINGS...MOSS POINT...
GAUTIER...ST. MARTIN
700 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM CDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A DENSE
FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM CDT FRIDAY.

* TIMING...PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND MIDNIGHT AND
  STEADILY BECOME THICKER AND MORE WIDESPREAD TOWARDS DAYBREAK.
  FOG SHOULD BURN OFF BY MID-MORNING BUT MAY LINGER IN A FEW
  LOCATIONS INTO THE LATE MORNING HOURS.

* DURATION...ABOUT 5 TO 7 HOURS BELOW 1 MILE VISIBILITY AND ABOUT
  3 TO 4 HOURS AT OR BELOW ONE-QUARTER MILE VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

&&

$$

24/RR




















Tomorrow will be unseasonably warm with highs between 84-88 degrees in most areas.

Monday, October 7, 2013

Cool Tonight - And What Happened With Karen

Karen wasn't as intense as originally expected, weakening to a tropical depression and only bringing some heavy rain to the MS Gulf Coast. The boring 2013 hurricane season continues.

To be honest, the cold spell we're having really interests me more. Today's highs were in the 70s with sunshine througout the state with a couple areas in North MS only in the upper 60s. Tonight will be the coolest night of the season with just about everyone in the 40s except parts of South MS. Tomorrow will be warmer, but still nice, with 70s. Enjoy this while it lasts, we'll be back in the 80s this week.





 



Friday, October 4, 2013

Karen Update

Tropical Storm Karen will have the biggest impacts from Saturday night into Sunday. From coastal Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle, Karen will bring tropical storm condition with rain up to 7 inches, storm surge up to 5 feet possible, and hurricane force wind gusts in some areas. It will greatly impact coastal Mississippi so people down there need to know what is going on with this storm. There is still a Hurricane Watch for the three coastal Mississippi counties and I will post an update if a Tropical Storm Warning or even a Hurricane Warning is issued.

Expected rainfall totals: THIS IS FROM KAREN ONLY, NOT THE COLD FRONT EXPCECTED TO MOVE THROUGH ON SUNDAY.





Forecast cone from the NWS:

 













 

 

Thursday, October 3, 2013

Tropical Storm Karen then A Cool Down

Tropical Storm Karen will have major effects on the Mississippi Gulf Coast this weekend with hurricane conditions possible at times! This will likely be the strongest tropical storm of the season. There will be heavy rain and hurricane like wind gusts possible. Karen may become a Category 1 Hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico but will likely weaken to a strong tropical storm before making it to land. Not only in Mississippi, but everyone from the New Orleans area to the Florida Panhandle needs to be aware of this.

Here is the current tropical watches and warnings in Mississippi, which includes a HURRICANE WATCH for Hancock, Harrison, and Jackson counties, the three Gulf Coast counties.


MSZ080>082-042200-
/O.CON.KLIX.HU.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
450 PM CDT THU OCT 3 2013

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED.

REGARDING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS...COVER ALL WINDOWS AND DOORS
WITH SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE
OBJECTS INDOORS. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE
DOORS. DO THIS AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.

IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...THE GROCERY
STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO
SATURDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM
SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST... RESULTING IN WORST CASE
FLOOD INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
SURGE ZONE. EAST FACING SHORELINE WILL BE THE LARGEST AREA OF
CONCERN.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A LOW THREAT OF INLAND FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL.


























HIGHEST RISK FOR FLOODING, TROPICAL FORCE WINDS, AND STORM SURGE ALONG THE COAST:

 
A strong cold front will follow Karen late this weekend and early next week bring much cooler temperatures with widespread highs in the 70s and lows well into the 50s and even mid to upper 40s in North MS.


Wednesday, October 2, 2013

Possible Tropical Storm

Invest 97 L could bring heavy rain and winds to Gulf Coast (including Mississippi) in the next few days. The National Hurricane Center has given it a 70% chance of becoming a tropical storm. This could be biggest tropical threat so far this season if it has a bigger effect than Andrea. This season has been very slow so far, and even though this won't be some devastating storm, people should still be careful. a


                                  












    Current location of Invest 97L