Christmas

MERRY CHRISTMAS! For spending time outdoors it will be nice and sunny, but defintely a cold start for Christmas morning with everyone waking up to frost, low may fall into the upper teens in NE Mississippi. Last Christmas had tornadic weather and snow, not having anything close to that this Christmas!

Severe Weather

Severe weather tomorrow will bring heavy rain, thunderstorms, strong winds, hail, and even tornadoes to the state. Much of Mississippi is under a moderate risk of severe weather by the Storm Prediction Center with the remainder of the state under a slight risk. There has already been isolated thunderstorms and showers move through and it will only be increasing as time passes.

More Freezing Rain and Sleet

Yesterday, Northwest Mississippi recieved light ice accumulations on trees and elevated surfaces, but temperatures were very marginal so there wasn't much travel issues. There is still accumulations on trees due to cloudy conditions and temperatures still below freezing, so any additional ice tonight will cause problems. Temperatures will not be borderline this go around in Northwest MS, so the freezing rain will accumulate on more objects. The precipitation is coming from the southwest and moving towards the Mid South, so it could start as early as 6 PM. The main window for frozen precip is from 9 PM to 6 AM in the western half of the advisories and from midnight to 6 AM in the eastern half the advisories. Ice accumulations could exceed 1/10" in may locations and locally up to 1/4". Keep in mind this is NEW accumulation on top of what there already is! Power outages are possible and I would also avoid traveling. It may also intially start out as sleet in most areas and sleet accumulations should stay under half an inch. STAY SAFE!

Winter Storm Update

The NWS issued a Winter Storm Watch for extreme northwest Mississippi for winter storm potential on Friday. 1/4-1/2" of freezing rain is likely in Northwest MS with light, but still impactful accumulations as far south and east as Tupelo. The changeover to freezing rain should occur in the watch area early to mid Friday, morning continuing through the afternoon where there is also potential for another changeover to sleet and/or snow, but the freezing rain will have the biggest impacts. The rain/ice line will move slowly southeast throughout the day. Whenever the watch is upgraded to a warning, advisories will likely be posted for some of the remaining areas of North MS.

This is a map of POSSIBLE ice accumulations through Friday night for MS:

 

 

And like I said before, the threat won't be over after this. Saturday night into Sunday has an even bigger chance now of additional freezing rain and sleet, and possible accumulations from Friday may not do much melting, which could also raise the risk of power outages and tree damage! It is still not certain what kind of accumulations will occur with Round 2 and it will need to be watched.

 

70s on Wednesday - Winter Storm on Friday

The entire state will be very warm for early December on Wednesday: in the 70s with mostly cloudy skies. Light Showers possible in North Mississippi though.

As much colder air moves into the state on Thursday, temperatures will quickly drop with increasing chances of precipitation. Late Friday morning it is likely that rain will switch to freezing rain with also some sleet possible later in the day and the chance of a few snowflakes on the back end, especially in Northwest Mississippi. Significant ice accumulations are possible so this will need to be watched! The farther north and west you are in the state, the better chances you have at winter weather. It won't be over after that: there is also potential for freezing rain on Saturday night and snow for next Monday, all for North Mississippi, but not going into detail with that yet.

This is 0.25" inch ice probablities from the CPC. They give a moderate chance for Desoto County and a slight chance for much of Northern Mississippi. Not too far, there is a high chance for northern suburbs of Memphis and West Tennessee and Northeast Arkansas.

Very Cold Start to Thanksgiving

HAPPY THANKSGIVING! Waking up Thanksgiving morning will be very cold, there will be a hard freeze all the way down to Gulf coast, ending the growing season for the entire state. Many locations will see colder temperatures than they did all last winter! Even though Thanksgiving morning will be colder than Wednesday morning was, temperatures will warm faster and higher in the 40s and 50s, so not bad.

Winter Has Come Early This Year

The title is well said...... a hard freeze all the way down to the Gulf coast and snowflakes in central state, and it's not even Thanksgiving yet!

Clouds are beginning to move out of North MS, but before they clear the whole state, there will and is some precipitation falling tonight, and on the backside some wet snowflakes are possible in Central Mississippi! There wont be any major accumulations to think about, but a light dusting could occur, particulary in the eastern portion of MS. Tomorrow will have abundant sunshine, but still remain cold and well below average, North Mississippi will struggle to rise above freezing! There are also freeze alerts in South Mississippi that are in effect for tomorrow night. Upper teens are possible up north, with mid 20s all the way down to the Gulf coast to start Thanksgiving. More details with Thanksgiving forecast to come tomorrow evening.

 

 

Winter Weather to Start the Week

An early season winter event will affect Mississippi as early as tomorrow morning and into Tuesday night. This is a very early in the season for this type of weather! In fact a Winter Weather Advisory has been posted in the Delta due to the likelihood of accumulating sleet tomorrow.

Winter Weather Advisory

---

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
135 PM CST SUN NOV 24 2013

...LIGHT SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIKELY IN THE ARKLAMISS DELTA
OVERNIGHT INTO MID MONDAY MORNING...

MOISTURE FROM A DEVELOPING SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER A REMNANT COLD
AIRMASS IN PLACE OVER THE ARKLAMISS DELTA THAT WILL LIKELY ALLOW FOR
PERIODS OF SLEET TO OCCUR OVERNIGHT INTO MID MONDAY MORNING. SOME
SLEET COULD COME DOWN IN HEAVY ENOUGH BURSTS TO ACCUMULATE...
ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED BRIDGES AND ROADWAYS. WHILE SLEET AND A SLEET
AND RAIN MIX WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE...SOME
PATCHES OF FREEZING RAIN APPEAR POSSIBLE ALSO. WINTER HAZARDS FOR
THIS REGION WILL DECREASE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY
WARM INTO THE MID 30S.


ARZ074-075-LAZ007-MSZ018-019-025-034-250345-
/O.NEW.KJAN.WW.Y.0002.131125T0600Z-131125T1800Z/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GREENVILLE
135 PM CST SUN NOV 24 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
NOON CST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON CST MONDAY.

* TIMING: HIGHEST CHANCE OF ACCUMULATING SLEET WILL BE BETWEEN 4AM
  AND 10AM MONDAY MORNING WITH LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH
  EXPECTED.

* ACCUMULATION: LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF SLEET IS EXPECTED

* MAIN IMPACT: HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS COULD DEVELOP ON ELEVATED
  ROADWAYS AND BRIDGES IN THE ARKLAMISS DELTA REGION


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SLEET MEANS PERIODS OF SLEET ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. SLEET MAY CAUSE DRIVING TO BECOME
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS...SO BE PREPARED TO USE CAUTION WHEN
TRAVELING. IN ADDITION..SOME POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN COULD ALSO
OCCUR BUT THIS IS NOT LIKELY WITH ALREADY WET GROUND AND ROAD
TEMPERATURES.


&&

$$

ALLEN

Early tomorrow morning, preciptation should begin moving into parts of the state, falling frozen in the form of sleet, and maybe even a touch of freezing rain. As the day progresses most areas will change over to rain with sleet mixing in at times. Then later in the evening and overnight there is potential for light accumulating snow and/or sleet in North MS. I would not be surprised if an advisory is extended further north later for that situation. The last time Mississippi recieved snow accumulation in November was 2011, and before that it was 1991! So we will see what happens with
 this.

 

 

COLD November

A cold front moved through Mississippi on Friday and now a reinforcing shot has made it even colder. Tonight will be cold to chilly across the whole state, and windy conditions will bring the wind chill down to 10-15 degrees in North Mississippi! Tomorrow won't be much warmer, with some areas not making it out of the 30s. There is also a chance of snow and sleet coming up for Monday and Tuesday, which I will make a post about later..... STAY WARM!

Wednesday

Wedensday will be mild to warm along with some clouds. Though it will be a chilly morning for most, temperatures will rise very quickly.

Stormy Sunday

While we're seeing unseasonably warm temperatures, thunderstorms (severe????) will move in to Mississippi late tonight, lasting into tomorrow. The SPC has North MS under a Slight Risk, so damaging winds are possible, the reason why a Wind Advisory is in effect in North MS, gusts up to 60 mph! Now, there is a CHANCE of an isolated tornado, defintely don't count on one but don't think there can't be one. Storms will move in North MS late tonight/very early morning and showers and storms will be stretch all the way to Gulf Coast by the afternoon.

Another Cold Night

A Freeze Warning is in effect for South and Central Mississippi for tonight, North Mississippi has already seen a freeze. Thanks to the calm winds, tonight will be frostier than last night, ending the growing season for the majority of the state. Although starting off cold, temperatures will rise very quickly after sunrise into the 50s and 60s.

Freezing Cold Tonight

The cold front has passed through the entire state now. There are Hard Freeze Warnings in Northwest Mississippi and Freeze Warnings in South and Central Mississippi. The remainder of North MS has already seen a killing freeze, so no warning. The only place that won't have a freeze is the immediate coast, and even there temperatures will fall to 33-34. Make sure to bring plants and pets indoors!!!! Tomorrow will warm into the 40s and 50s under sunny skies, not too bad. After tomorrow morning, the freeze threat still won't be gone, Thursday morning will have freezing temperatures, but slightly warmer.

Much Cooler Weather Coming!

A strong cold front will sweep though Mississippi tomorrow, bringing a hard freeze for many. A Hard Freeze Watch is in effect for Northwest MS, temperatures of 28 or lower are possible and it will likely be upgraded to a Hard Freeze Warning late tonight or tomorrow morning. A Freeze Warning is in effect for much South and Central MS, meaning all the way to the Gulf Coast! The Freeze Watch you see for Southeast MS will also likely be upgraded to a Freeze Warning at some point. Northeast
MS is not under any warning due to a freeze already occuring earlier in the season. Tomorrow's forecast is somewhat complicated because of the cold front. The cold front will enter MS tomorrow morning and be at the Gulf Coast by the afternoon. On the map shows the AFTERNOON high temperatures (for the 2-4 PM time frame) and in parentheses next to the afternoon high is the expected daily high, which will occur early morning in North MS, maybe around noon or so from Jackson to Hattiesburg. The afternoon high and daily high won't be too far apart on the Gulf Coast. The front will be mostly dry, but some light, scattered precipitation is possible in North Mississippi. Temperatures will be in the upper 30s at the time of precipitation and it looks to be rain BUT I cannot rule out some sleet or ice pellets mixing in near the MS/TN border. There is also a Wind Advisory in effect for North MS. Substained winds of 25 to 39 MPH are expected with gusts up to 57 MPH! This will create cold wind chills: Wednesday afternoon it will feel like it's below freezing!

 

Veteran's Day Forecast

Tomorrow is VETERAN'S DAY! It should be fairly nice with no precipitation, and not too hot or too cold. This will be the last day with warm-ish weather in the northern half of the state due to the arctic air plunging southward, bringing temperatures below freezing for most of the state soon.

ARCTIC Air Coming

A strong cold front will move through early next week, bringing very cold air behind it! Most of Mississippi will dip below freezing on Wednesday and Thursday mornings with many locations having 40s for high temperatures. This will bring temperatures 10-20 degrees below average. Very little precipitation will fall, and when and where it does, it will most likely be rain. The map below shows areas where a hard freeze, a freeze, and frost are possible. This could very well change, so the freezing line could go further north or south.

But for now we are seeing more seasonable temperatures. This is Sunday's forecast:

Rainy Night

North and Central MS have been seeing some rain and cloudy skies today, and will continue into tonight for many areas. The cold front is already beginning to move through Northwest MS and will clear the entire state by morning. Tomorrow will be nice and cool with some leftover showers possible in South MS. Total rainfall won't be heavy (less than an inch in most places.)

Tuesday

Tuesday will be warm and partly cloudy - and wouldn't rule out an isolated shower in the northern half of the state. Highs will be in the 70s for most, slightly above average. Rain chances are going to increase for Wednesday with cooler weather following - highs only in the 50s and 60s.

Severe Weather Will Occur on Halloween

Severe weather will happen on Halloween and could ruin Halloween plans for many. A slight risk of severe weather has been issued for most of North and Central MS for Halloween day. Thunderstorms and heavy rain are likely with the possibility of damging winds and even a tornado possible. Rain could clear western parts of MS just in time for trick-or-treating, but exact timing for the event is still uncertain - the closer you are to the MS River the better chance you have at a dry Halloween night.

POTENTIAL HALLOWEEN RAINFALL TOTALS

BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER

Freeze and Frost Tonight

The time has come....... a Freeze Warning has been issued for Northeast MS and a Frost Advisory for most of the rest of North MS, and even if you're not in the advisory or warning, that dosen't mean there can't be patchy frost. Tomorrow's temperatures will range from the mid 50s in northern part of the state and low 70s at the Gulf coast. Frost potential will also exist Saturday morning.

 

Cool Tonight and Tomorrow

It will be cool tonight with temperatures in the 40s and 50s. Highs not warming up much in the northern part of the state, but south MS will be getting in the 70s. A series of cold fronts are continuing to move through the US. Friday and Saturday mornings have a high potential for frost, and even freezing temperatures with 30s reaching as far south as the Hattiesburg area.